If properties are empty from population decline, they’ll lose value and rent. If this happens, then what’s the timeline?
Richard Vague, the PA Governor-appointed Secretary of Banking and Securities from 2020-2023, joins us.
US and world birth rates keep declining.
As population declines, per capita GDP often increases.
Richard believes that inequality will widen.
Most models show the US population increasing for several decades. A median model is 342M today up to 383M in 2054.
Opposite of what the Fed thinks, Richard believes that lower interest rates can quell today’s persistent inflation.
The US has had 9 instances of high inflation. It’s often spurred by wars, which create shortages.
I tell Richard about GRE’s Inflation Triple Crown and ask his opinion.
Real estate values rise as debt-to-GDP rises.
I point-blank ask Richard if an economic crisis is imminent.
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